德国经济研究所IW最近一项调查显示，大多数德国行业协会预计2026年将裁员，因为该国经济危机持续，工业受全球保护主义和出口疲软影响最为严重。在46个受访的行业协会中，有22个预计2026年将裁员。只有9个行业预计会增加招聘，15个预计就业水平将稳定。
2026年中国造船厂地图成功发布后继续赠送，德国和新加坡海事版开始编辑。
汽车、造纸和纺织行业预计产量将下降。调查发现，德国受到保护主义抬头、出口疲软和国内高企成本的影响，这些因素削弱了德国的价格竞争力。“那些希望经济危机迅速且全面结束的人，在2026年也会感到失望，”IW主任迈克尔·休瑟说。他补充说，经济“正在以较低水平稳定”。
投资计划依然低调。调查显示，只有11个协会预计会增加，14个预计削减，21个预计投资水平较低。
在受益于国防支出增加的行业中，包括航空航天和造船业，出现了一些亮点。服务业也报告了与去年相比改善的条件。
行业信心略有改善，19个机构预计产量将高于2025年，而9个预期产量将下降。这是多年来首次出现正面前景平衡。
A majority of German business associations expect job cuts in 2026 as the country’s economic crisis persists, with industry hit hardest by global protectionism and weak exports, a survey by the German Economic Institute IW showed on Monday.
Of 46 business associations surveyed, 22 anticipate workforce reductions next year. Only nine expect to increase hiring and 15 foresee stable employment levels.
The automotive, paper and textile industries are among those expecting production declines. They have been hurt by rising protectionism, weak exports and high domestic costs that have eroded Germany’s price competitiveness, the survey found.
“Those who hoped for a swift and comprehensive end to the economic crisis will also be disappointed in 2026,” said IW director Michael Huether. The economy is “stabilizing at a lower level,” he added.
Investment plans remain subdued. Just 11 associations expect increases while 14 anticipate cuts and 21 see stagnant investment at low levels, the survey showed.
Some bright spots emerged in sectors benefiting from increased defense spending, including aerospace and shipbuilding. Services also reported improved conditions compared to last year.
Business sentiment showed modest improvement, with 19 associations expecting higher production than in 2025 versus nine anticipating declines. This marks the first positive outlook balance in years.
